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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Mar 19, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Toyota Park
FC Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
3 - 3
Cincinnati

Przybylko (32'), Czichos (45' pen.), Mueller (46')
Teran (13'), Gimenez (57'), Navarro (65'), Przybylko (90+2'), Pineda (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Moreno (8', 87'), Santos (84')
Vazquez (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 1-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Seattle
Sunday, March 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 0-2 FC Cincinnati

Cincinnati will be confident of hurting any team this season with a front pairing of Vazquez and Brenner. The strikers and the additional goal threat of Acosta in the midfield should be too much for a badly out of form Chicago to cope with, so Noonan's side are strong favourites to collect their third win of the season here.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
49.64% (-0.304 -0.3) 24.67% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.69% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.21% (0.40000000000001 0.4)48.79% (-0.4 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.11% (0.362 0.36)70.89% (-0.36200000000001 -0.36)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.32% (0.032999999999987 0.03)19.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.33% (0.053999999999995 0.05)51.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.494 0.49)33.36% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.02% (0.538 0.54)69.98% (-0.53700000000001 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 49.64%
    FC Cincinnati 25.69%
    Draw 24.66%
Chicago FireDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.67% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.16% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (-0.063 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 49.64%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-2 @ 5.23% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.43% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.96% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 25.69%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Cincinnati

Chicago Fire
20.0%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
80.0%
5
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 12.30am
May 15, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Cincinnati
Duran (83')
Czichos (33' og.), Acosta (85')
Moreno (8'), Acosta (21')
Oct 21, 2021 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-4
Chicago Fire
Acosta (28'), Vazquez (36'), Blackett (90+1')
Bailey (30'), Gyau (48'), Cameron (80')
Beric (14', 17'), Medran (71'), Stojanovic (90+3')
Kappelhof (45+1'), Navarro (68'), Slonina (79')
Jun 24, 2021 1am
Sep 3, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9612167919
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati96121311219
3Inter MiamiInter Miami8530136718
4Columbus Crew9531127518
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia9513169716
6Orlando City93421512313
7Nashville SCNashville94141211113
8Chicago Fire93331615112
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9333109112
10New York City FCNY City93241113-211
11New England RevolutionNew England831467-110
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta92341116-59
13DC United92341119-89
14Toronto9144813-57
15CF MontrealMontreal9036413-93

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver96211761120
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd9441117416
3Austin FCAustin951378-116
4Portland TimbersPortland94321613315
5Colorado RapidsColorado94321313015
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles94141314-113
7Seattle SoundersSeattle93331211112
8Dallas93331011-112
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes93151917210
10St Louis City923456-19
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9306814-69
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas92161519-47
13Houston DynamoHouston9144814-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy9036616-103
15San Diego FC00000000


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