Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 48.2%. A win for Reims had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.01) 
