Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.74%. A win for Reims had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Reims win was 1-0 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Reims | Draw | Marseille |
| 27.42% ( | 24.84% ( | 47.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( | 48.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( | 70.39% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( | 31.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.89% ( | 68.11% ( |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.75% ( | 20.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.41% ( | 52.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Reims | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 7.37% ( 2-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 3-0 @ 1.62% ( Other @ 2.76% Total : 27.42% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0-3 @ 4.36% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 2% ( 0-4 @ 1.74% ( 2-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 47.73% |