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Ligue 1

Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Nantes

Marseille
2 - 0
Nantes

Rabiot (11'), Gouiri (73'), Greenwood (77')
Hojbjerg (37')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Amian (51'), Leroux (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 3-0 Marseille
Saturday, February 22 at 8.05pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 3-1 Lens
Sunday, February 23 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 72.17%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 11.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Marseille in this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawNantes
72.17% (0.849 0.85)16.45% (-0.293 -0.29)11.39% (-0.552 -0.55)
Both teams to score 53.51% (-0.811 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97% (-0.107 -0.11)35.03% (0.11 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.98% (-0.121 -0.12)57.03% (0.123 0.12)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.52% (0.16300000000001 0.16)8.48% (-0.16 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.59% (0.395 0.39)29.42% (-0.392 -0.39)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.47% (-0.991 -0.99)41.53% (0.994 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.98% (-0.883 -0.88)78.03% (0.886 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Marseille 72.17%
    Nantes 11.39%
    Draw 16.45%
MarseilleDrawNantes
2-0 @ 10.72% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.82% (0.247 0.25)
1-0 @ 8.69% (0.113 0.11)
3-1 @ 7.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.44% (0.192 0.19)
4-1 @ 4.78% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.09 -0.09)
5-0 @ 2.68% (0.114 0.11)
5-1 @ 2.36% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.04 -0.04)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.055 0.05)
5-2 @ 1.04% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 72.17%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-0 @ 3.52% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 16.45%
1-2 @ 3.36% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-1 @ 3.1% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 1.36% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.39%

How you voted: Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Nantes
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Nantes
1-2
Marseille
Kadewere (39')
Pallois (90+7')
Maupay (24'), Greenwood (61')
Balerdi (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Marseille
2-0
Nantes
Aubameyang (17', 79')
Aubameyang (74'), Mbemba (90+2')

Douglas (27'), Amian (45+1'), Gourvennec (80'), Sissoko (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 4
Nantes
1-1
Marseille
Mohamed (39')
Aristouy (69')
Meupiyou (9')
Sarr (4')
Aubameyang (26'), Rongier (70')
> Preview
Feb 1, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 21
Nantes
0-2
Marseille
Victor (57' og.), Ounahi (90+3')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 3
Marseille
2-1
Nantes
Mbemba (70'), Pallois (82' og.)
Rongier (55'), Gigot (60'), Lopez (76'), Veretout (90+3')
Gigot (76')
Blas (78' pen.)
Guessand (59')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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