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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Marseille

Nice
2 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (7'), Cho (51')
Ndayishimiye (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakola (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Nice
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Nice 1-2 Marseille

After putting their Europa League dreams to bed on Thursday night, Nice will be looking for a Ligue 1 pick-me-up against Marseille this weekend. Le Gym are eight games unbeaten at their own patch in the league, although we feel that run will be halted when Les Olympiens come to town. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
28.55% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04) 24.43% (-0.236 -0.24) 47.02% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.764 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (1.017 1.02)45.77% (-1.018 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.959 0.96)68.09% (-0.958 -0.96)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.496 0.5)29.58% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.598 0.6)65.61% (-0.59899999999999 -0.6)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.523 0.52)19.57% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.846 0.85)51.48% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Nice 28.55%
    Marseille 47.02%
    Draw 24.43%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.55%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
27.8%
Draw
22.8%
Marseille
49.4%
79
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Maupay (40'), Henrique (53')
Brassier (19'), Rongier (64'), Abdi (78')
Cornelius (75')

Dante (13'), Haise (55'), Cornelius (63'), Rowe (90+1')
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
1-0
Marseille
Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG31246184315378
2Marseille31184966432358
3Lille31168749321756
4MonacoMonaco31167858362255
5Lyon31166962422054
6Nice31159759392054
7StrasbourgStrasbourg31159751381354
8Lens31136123537-245
9Brest31135134953-444
10Auxerre31118124545041
11Rennes31122174644238
12Toulouse3198143839-135
13Reims3189143242-1033
14NantesNantes31711133550-1532
15Angers3186172950-2130
16Le HavreLe Havre3184193465-3128
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne3176183471-3727
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier3144232271-4916


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