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Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Marseille

Nice
2 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (7'), Cho (51')
Ndayishimiye (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakola (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Nice
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
NiceDrawMarseille
28.55% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)24.43% (-0.236 -0.24)47.02% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 56.64% (0.764 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.23% (1.017 1.02)45.77% (-1.018 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.91% (0.959 0.96)68.09% (-0.958 -0.96)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.42% (0.496 0.5)29.58% (-0.497 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.39% (0.598 0.6)65.61% (-0.59899999999999 -0.6)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (0.523 0.52)19.57% (-0.523 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.52% (0.846 0.85)51.48% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Nice 28.55%
    Marseille 47.02%
    Draw 24.43%
NiceDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 7.05% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.07 0.07)
3-0 @ 1.74% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 28.55%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.71% (0.097 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.058 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 9.44% (-0.256 -0.26)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.1% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 4.19% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.11% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 2.08% (0.074 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.037 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.27% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 47.02%

How you voted: Nice vs Marseille

Nice
27.8%
Draw
22.8%
Marseille
49.4%
79
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 4pm
Gameweek 4
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Maupay (40'), Henrique (53')
Brassier (19'), Rongier (64'), Abdi (78')
Cornelius (75')

Dante (13'), Haise (55'), Cornelius (63'), Rowe (90+1')
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 29
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Clauss (31'), Aubameyang (56' pen.)
Moumbagna (22')
Moumbagna (45+2')
Moffi (13'), Bard (72')
Moffi (11'), Cho (54'), Sanson (61')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Nice
1-0
Marseille
Guessand (79')
Dante (16'), Boga (24'), Boudaoui (56'), Moffi (79')

Balerdi (75'), Murillo (90+6')
Balerdi (78')
Feb 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Marseille
1-3
Nice
Diop (38'), Laborde (44'), Brahimi (85')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Nice
0-3
Marseille

Beka Beka (57')
Sanchez (10', 42'), Tavares (37')
Tavares (71')