Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19

Jan 26, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 0
Marseille

Guessand (7'), Cho (51')
Ndayishimiye (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bakola (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Elfsborg 1-0 Nice
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, January 19 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 47.02%. A win for Nice had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Nice	Draw	Marseille
28.55% ( -0.04)	24.43% ( -0.24)	47.02% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 56.64% (

0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23% (

1.02)

45.77% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.91% (

0.96)

68.09% (

-0.96)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

0.5)

29.58% (

-0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

0.6)

65.61% (

-0.6)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

0.52)

19.57% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

0.85)

51.48% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Nice 28.55%

Marseille 47.02%

Draw 24.43%

Nice	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 28.55%	1-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.25) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.43%	0-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.04% Total : 47.02%