Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Jan 5, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille5 - 1Le Havre
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Etienne 0-4 Marseille
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France
Sunday, December 22 at 1.45pm in Coupe de France
Goals
for
for
32
We said: Marseille 2-0 Le Havre
Marseille and Le Havre have experienced contrasting seasons so far, with the hosts being second while the visitors are second from bottom. Given that Digard's side have earned almost all of their points against teams near the foot of the table, it is difficult to see them winning this weekend, and considering that they have yet to draw a single game this term, it is unlikely they will manage to avoid defeat against De Zerbi's men either. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 62.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 16.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Le Havre win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Le Havre |
62.14% ( 0.12) | 21.29% ( -0.04) | 16.58% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
