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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice | 
| 30.64% (  -0.02) | 25.24% (  0.02) | 44.12% (  -0.01) | 
| Both teams to score 55.23% (  -0.08) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.8% (  -0.1) | 48.2% (  0.11) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.65% (  -0.09) | 70.35% (  0.1) | 
| Montpellier HSC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.65% (  -0.06) | 29.35% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.68% (  -0.08) | 65.33% (  0.08) | 
| Nice Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 78.17% (  -0.05) | 21.83% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.95% (  -0.07) | 55.05% (  0.07) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Nice | 
| 1-0 @ 7.85% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% (  -0) 2-0 @ 4.82% (  0) 3-1 @ 3% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.97% (  -0) 4-1 @ 0.92% (  -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.64% | 1-1 @ 11.95% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 6.41% (  0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% (  -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.16% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 9.75% (  0.03) 1-2 @ 9.1% (  -0) 0-2 @ 7.42% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 4.61% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.83% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.76% (  -0) 0-4 @ 1.43% (  -0) 2-4 @ 1.08% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 44.12% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 35 | 57 | 84 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 74 | 47 | 27 | 65 | 
| 3 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 61 | 
| 4 | Nice | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 66 | 41 | 25 | 60 | 
| 5 | Lille | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 60 | 
| 6 | Lyon | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 57 | 
| 7 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 57 | 
| 8 | Lens | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 52 | 
| 9 | Brest | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 50 | 
| 10 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 42 | 
| 11 | Auxerre | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 42 | 
| 12 | Rennes | 34 | 13 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 41 | 
| 13 | NantesNantes | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 36 | 
| 14 | Angers | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 36 | 
| 15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 40 | 71 | -31 | 34 | 
| 16 | Reims | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 33 | 
| R | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 39 | 77 | -38 | 30 | 
| R | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 79 | -56 | 16 | 
| > Ligue 1 Full Table | |||||||||
