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Angers
AJ Auxerre
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lens logo
Lille
Lille
Lyon
Lyon
Marseille
Marseille
Monaco
Monaco
Montpellier
Montpellier
Nantes
Nantes
Nice
Nice
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PSG logo
Reims
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Rennes
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Toulouse
Nice
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK
Allianz Riviera
Lille

Nice
2 - 2
Lille

Diop (56'), Louchet (90+6')
Clauss (37'), Diop (85')
FT(HT: 0-1)
M (17'), Bakker (66')
David (86'), Gomes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
NiceDrawLille
34.96% (0.103 0.1)26.32% (0.026 0.03)38.72% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.02% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)51.66% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)73.44% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.019000000000005 0.02)28.27% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.02% (0.024000000000001 0.02)63.98% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.111 -0.11)26.08% (0.115 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.86% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)61.14% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Nice 34.96%
    Lille 38.72%
    Draw 26.31%
NiceDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.32% (0.039 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.028 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.96%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.37% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.41% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 38.72%

How you voted: Nice vs Lille

Nice
31.7%
Draw
41.7%
Lille
26.7%
60
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Lille
2-2
Nice
Arnar Haraldsson (55'), Andre (73')
Arnar Haraldsson (58'), Alexsandro (61'), Andre (90+1')
Zhegrova (90+8')
Laborde (10'), Lotomba (90+3')
Claude-Maurice (64'), Thuram (76'), Bulka (90+11')
Aug 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 1
Nice
1-1
Lille
Laborde (18')
Atal (35'), Laborde (45+2'), Thuram (55')
Diakite (90+4')
Arnar Haraldsson (38'), Santos (45+3')
Jan 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 20
Nice
1-0
Lille
Laborde (34')
Aug 31, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lille
1-2
Nice
Bamba (20')
Delort (22' pen.), Pepe (29' pen.)
May 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 37
Nice
1-3
Lille
Kluivert (31')
Lotomba (45'), Kluivert (90+1'), Galtier (90+2')
David (52', 61'), Weah (90+4')
Gudmundsson (12'), Gomes (66'), Weah (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG34266292355784
2Marseille34205974472765
3MonacoMonaco34187963412261
4Nice34179866412560
5Lille34179852361660
6Lyon341761165461957
7StrasbourgStrasbourg34169956441257
8Lens34157124239352
9Brest34155145259-750
10Toulouse34119144443142
11Auxerre34119144851-342
12Rennes34132195150141
13NantesNantes34812143952-1336
14Angers34106183253-2136
15Le HavreLe Havre34104204071-3134
16Reims3489173347-1433
RSaint-EtienneSt Etienne3486203977-3830
RMontpellier HSCMontpellier3444262379-5616


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