Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11

Nov 10, 2024 at 2pm UK

Allianz Riviera

Nice
2 - 2
Lille

Diop (56'), Louchet (90+6')
Clauss (37'), Diop (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

M (17'), Bakker (66')
David (86'), Gomes (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Nice and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nice

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 2-2 FC Twente
Thursday, November 7 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Lille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lille 1-1 Juventus
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 38.72%. A win for Nice had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Nice	Draw	Lille
34.96% ( 0.1)	26.32% ( 0.03)	38.72% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 53.02% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.34% (

-0.09)

51.66% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.56% (

-0.08)

73.44% (

0.08)

Nice Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.73% (

0.02)

28.27% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.02% (

0.02)

63.98% (

-0.02)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.92% (

-0.11)

26.08% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.86% (

-0.15)

61.14% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Nice 34.96%

Lille 38.72%

Draw 26.31%

Nice	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.96%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.72%