Champions League | League Stage
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille1 - 1Juventus
We said: Lille 2-2 Juventus
Both teams are flying high domestically and have similar records in Europe, so it could be difficult to separate them on Tuesday evening. As Juventus have started to leak goals, Lille should score at least once; however, Juve's front line has recently clicked into gear and can strike hard on the counter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lille | Draw | Juventus |
34.92% ( 0.02) | 25.95% ( 0.01) | 39.13% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.27% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
