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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 27, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

Inter Milan
4 - 4
Juventus

Zielinski (15' pen., 37' pen.), Mkhitaryan (35'), Dumfries (53')
Pavard (59'), Dumfries (75')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Vlahovic (20'), Weah (26'), Yildiz (71', 82')
Danilo (52'), Cabal (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Derby d'Italia between Inter Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Young Boys 0-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 0-1 Stuttgart
Tuesday, October 22 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 0-0 Juventus

This latest instalment of the Derby d'Italia will be a battle of trophy-winning experience against success-hungry youth: Inter have the highest average age in Serie A this season (29 years and 255 days), while Juventus have the second-lowest, more than five years younger. Both teams are more than capable of keeping clean sheets - in fact, it is written deep within Juve's DNA - so a safety-first stalemate could disappoint an expectant San Siro. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Juventus had a probability of 20.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Juventus win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
56.25% (0.423 0.42) 23.18% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 20.57% (-0.444 -0.44)
Both teams to score 52.04% (-0.704 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (-0.611 -0.61)47.74% (0.61 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.07% (-0.568 -0.57)69.93% (0.566 0.57)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.23% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)16.78% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.124 -0.12)46.72% (0.122 0.12)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.54% (-0.79300000000001 -0.79)37.47% (0.79300000000001 0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (-0.788 -0.79)74.25% (0.786 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 56.25%
    Juventus 20.57%
    Draw 23.17%
Inter MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.201 0.2)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.85% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.0079999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.158 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.17% (0.024 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 20.57%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Juventus

Inter Milan
64.1%
Draw
29.0%
Juventus
6.9%
131
Head to Head
Feb 4, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Inter Milan
1-0
Juventus
Gatti (37' og.)
Mkhitaryan (51'), Thuram (77'), Inzaghi (79')

Vlahovic (18'), Danilo (32'), Bremer (87')
Nov 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Vlahovic (27')
Cambiaso (11'), Kostic (79')
Martinez (33')
Cuadrado (75')
Apr 26, 2023 8pm
Apr 4, 2023 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Juventus
1-1
Inter Milan
Cuadrado (83')
Lukaku (90+5' pen.)
Mar 19, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli34228454252974
2Inter Milan34218572333971
3Atalanta BCAtalanta34198767313665
4Juventus341614451312062
5Bologna341613552371561
6Roma34179849321760
7Lazio34179857451260
8Fiorentina34178953341959
9AC Milan341591053381554
10Torino341013113839-143
11Como34119144448-442
12Udinese34118153648-1241
13Genoa34912132941-1239
14CagliariCagliari3489173549-1433
15Parma34614144053-1332
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3495203062-3232
17Lecce3469192456-3227
18VeneziaVenezia34413172748-2125
19Empoli34413172754-2725
20Monza3429232559-3415


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