Champions League

Champions League | League Stage

Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Red Star

Calhanoglu (11'), Arnautovic (59'), Martinez (71'), Taremi (81' pen.)
Mkhitaryan (15'), de Vrij (48')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Elsnik (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Red Star Belgrade

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Red Star 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
55.78% ( 0.04)	21.81% ( -0)	22.41% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.34% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

-0.03)

39.34% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

-0.03)

61.68% (

0.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.97% (

14.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.42% (

0.01)

41.58% (

-0)

Red Star Belgrade Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.02% (

-0.05)

30.98% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.71% (

-0.06)

67.29% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 55.78%

Red Star Belgrade 22.41%

Draw 21.8%

Inter Milan	Draw	Red Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.78%	1-1 @ 10% 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.8%	1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.09% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 22.41%