Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 4

Sep 15, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Mota (81')
Mota (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dumfries (88')
Dumfries (62'), Pavard (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-2 Monza
Sunday, September 1 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Atalanta
Friday, August 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.76%) and 0-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a Monza win it was 1-0 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Monza	Draw	Inter Milan
23.4% ( -1.17)	23.61% ( -0.28)	53% ( 1.46)

Both teams to score 54.5% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66% (

0.09)

46.34% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37% (

0.08)

68.63% (

-0.07)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.01% (

-0.96)

33.99% (

0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-1.06)

70.67% (

1.06)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

0.58)

17.44% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.1% (

47.9% (

-0.99)

Score Analysis

Monza 23.4%

Inter Milan 53%

Draw 23.61%

Monza	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.22% Total : 23.4%	1-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.61%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.76% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 5.26% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 2.48% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.73% Total : 53%