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Champions League

Sporting Lisbon
Champions League | League Stage
Sep 17, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Lille

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 0
Lille

Gyokeres (38'), Debast (65')
Morita (45+1'), Debast (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gomes (21'), David (40'), Andre (56'), Bouaddi (72')
Gomes (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, September 13 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Lille

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Lille
Friday, September 13 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for Lille had a probability of 23.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawLille
53.49% (0.157 0.16)22.65% (-0.439 -0.44)23.87% (0.282 0.28)
Both teams to score 58.29% (1.846 1.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.42% (2.287 2.29)41.58% (-2.285 -2.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.02% (2.272 2.27)63.98% (-2.271 -2.27)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45% (0.871 0.87)15.55% (-0.87 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.51% (1.597 1.6)44.49% (-1.596 -1.6)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (1.491 1.49)30.98% (-1.488 -1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.72% (1.71 1.71)67.28% (-1.708 -1.71)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 53.49%
    Lille 23.87%
    Draw 22.64%
Sporting LisbonDrawLille
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.666 -0.67)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-1 @ 6.07% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.18% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.16 0.16)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.157 0.16)
5-1 @ 1.05% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 53.49%
1-1 @ 10.5% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.224 0.22)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.514 -0.51)
3-3 @ 1.39% (0.145 0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.64%
1-2 @ 6.16% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
0-1 @ 5.65% (-0.352 -0.35)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.174 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.29% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 23.87%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Lille

Sporting Lisbon
84.9%
Draw
9.7%
Lille
5.4%
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