

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 77.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 8.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-2 (2.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 77.97% (  0.04) | 13.41% (  -0.02) | 8.62% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 54.59% (  -0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 71.57% (  0.02) | 28.42% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 50.73% (  0.02) | 49.27% (  -0.02) | 
| Sporting Lisbon Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 94.15% (  0.01) | 5.84% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 77.56% (  0.03) | 22.44% (  -0.03) | 
| Rio Ave Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 57.98% (  -0.03) | 42.02% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.55% (  -0.03) | 78.45% (  0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave | 
| 2-0 @ 9.9% (  0) 3-0 @ 9.37% (  0.01) 2-1 @ 8.58% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 8.13% 1-0 @ 6.97% (  -0) 4-0 @ 6.65% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 5.77% (  0) 5-0 @ 3.78% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.52% (  -0) 5-1 @ 3.28% (  0) 4-2 @ 2.5% (  -0) 6-0 @ 1.79% (  0) 6-1 @ 1.55% (  0) 5-2 @ 1.42% (  0) Other @ 4.75% Total : 77.97% | 1-1 @ 6.05% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% (  -0) 0-0 @ 2.46% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% (  -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 13.41% | 1-2 @ 2.62% (  -0) 0-1 @ 2.13% (  -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% (  -0) 0-2 @ 0.92% (  -0) Other @ 1.87% Total : 8.62% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 | 
| 2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 | 
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 | 
| 4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 | 
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 | 
| 6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 | 
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 | 
| 8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 | 
| 9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 | 
| 10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 | 
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 | 
| 12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 | 
| 13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 | 
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 | 
| 15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 | 
| 16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 | 
| 17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 | 
| 18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 | 
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