Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
44.43% (![]() | 23.75% (![]() | 31.81% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.96% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.06% (![]() | 40.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.67% (![]() | 63.33% (![]() |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.29% (![]() | 18.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.94% (![]() | 50.06% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.99% (![]() | 25.01% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.32% (![]() | 59.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
2-1 @ 9.11% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.84% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.57% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.09% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.53% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.54% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 10.86% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.68% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.63% ( ![]() Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.48% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.49% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.92% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
4 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
5 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |