

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 44.43% ( | 23.75% ( | 31.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.96% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( | 40.94% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( | 63.33% ( |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.29% ( | 18.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.94% ( | 50.06% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.99% ( | 25.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.32% ( | 59.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Porto | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 3-0 @ 3.67% ( 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.46% Total : 44.43% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.74% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0-1 @ 6.48% ( 0-2 @ 4.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.48% ( 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0-3 @ 2.08% ( 1-4 @ 1.21% 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 31.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Porto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | BoavistaBoavista | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AVS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Nacional | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Estrela Amadora | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | AroucaArouca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio AveRio Ave | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| > Primeira Liga Full Table | |||||||||
