Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 80.71%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 6.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (8.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.74%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
80.71% (![]() | 12.36% (![]() | 6.93% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.93% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.28% (![]() | 29.72% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.14% (![]() | 50.85% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.37% (![]() | 5.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.19% (![]() | 21.8% (![]() |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.91% (![]() | 47.09% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.44% (![]() | 82.55% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Boavista |
2-0 @ 10.96% (![]() 3-0 @ 10.52% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.93% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 7.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 3.28% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.58% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 4.46% Total : 80.7% | 1-1 @ 5.74% (![]() 2-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.65% ( ![]() Other @ 0.86% Total : 12.36% | 1-2 @ 2.16% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.99% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 6.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 25 | 58 | 75 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 3 | 4 | 80 | 25 | 55 | 75 |
3 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 26 | 26 | 64 |
4 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 57 | 28 | 29 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 51 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
11 | Nacional | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 33 |
13 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 33 | 51 | -18 | 33 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 29 |
16 | AVS | 31 | 4 | 12 | 15 | 23 | 55 | -32 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 20 | 42 | -22 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 52 | -32 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |