Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 16.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
16.03% (![]() | 21.27% (![]() | 62.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.71% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% (![]() | 46.59% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% (![]() | 68.86% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.97% (![]() | 42.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.54% (![]() | 78.46% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.75% (![]() | 14.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.98% (![]() | 42.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
1-0 @ 5.19% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.27% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 1.7% Total : 16.03% | 1-1 @ 10.11% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.27% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 21.26% | 0-1 @ 11.67% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.36% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 62.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |