| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Vizela | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Sporting Lisbon | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Portimonense | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 1 | -4 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 59.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 18.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 59.86% ( | 21.9% ( | 18.24% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.41% ( | 45.58% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.09% ( | 67.91% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.18% ( | 14.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.88% ( | 43.11% ( |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.26% ( | 38.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.53% ( | 75.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 4-0 @ 3.18% ( 4-1 @ 3.01% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 5-1 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 59.86% | 1-1 @ 10.39% ( 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 3-3 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.56% 2-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 20 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 51 | 12 | 39 | 53 |
| 2 | Porto | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 45 | 11 | 34 | 45 |
| 3 | Braga | 19 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 38 |
| 5 | Casa Pia | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | AroucaArouca | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 27 |
| 8 | ChavesChaves | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 25 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 25 |
| 10 | Vizela | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 24 |
| 11 | PortimonensePortimonense | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 23 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 21 |
| 13 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 21 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 | Gil Vicente | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
| 16 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 15 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 35 | -23 | 13 |
| 18 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 36 | -24 | 9 |
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