

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 38.38%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 2-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 36.75% ( | 24.87% ( | 38.38% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( | 45.08% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( | 67.43% ( |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% ( | 24.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.55% ( | 58.45% ( |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.72% ( | 23.28% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.79% ( | 57.21% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 5.68% ( 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 4-0 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.75% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-3 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0-2 @ 5.97% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 38.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Barnet | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 14 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 30 |
| 4 | Gateshead | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 25 |
| 5 | Bromley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 25 |
| 6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 26 | 20 | 6 | 24 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Woking | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Rochdale | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Halifax TownHalifax | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
| 13 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Ebbsfleet | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 16 |
| 16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 16 |
| 17 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
| 18 | York City | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 12 |
| 20 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 12 |
| 21 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 11 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 11 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 10 |
| 24 | Fylde | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 9 |
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