Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 50.11%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 50.11% ( | 24.6% ( | 25.3% ( | 
| Both teams to score 53.38% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.2% ( | 48.8% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.1% ( | 70.9% ( | 
| Solihull Moors Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.51% ( | 19.49% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.63% ( | 51.37% ( | 
| Aldershot Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 66.31% ( | 33.69% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.65% ( | 70.34% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Solihull Moors | Draw | Aldershot Town | 
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-0 @ 4.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.96% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 50.1%  | 1-1 @ 11.68% 0-0 @ 6.57% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.59%  | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.31% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 2.31% Total : 25.3%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 17 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 | 
| 3 | Bromley | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 35 | 
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 34 | 
| 5 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 29 | 
| 6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 | 
| 7 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 27 | 
| 8 | Gateshead | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 26 | 
| 9 | Rochdale | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 24 | 
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 23 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 23 | 
| 12 | Woking | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 22 | 
| 13 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 18 | 7 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 22 | 
| 14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 21 | 
| 15 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 | 
| 16 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 17 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 20 | 
| 18 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 | 
| 19 | Ebbsfleet | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 17 | 
| 20 | Fylde | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 16 | 
| 21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 16 | 
| 22 | York City | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 16 | 
| 23 | Oxford CityOxford City | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 14 | 
| 24 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 14 | 
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