Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 48.8%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 27.55% (  0.11) | 23.64% (  0.03) | 48.8% (  -0.14) | 
| Both teams to score 58.58% (  -0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.11% (  -0.05) | 42.88% (  0.05) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.71% (  -0.05) | 65.28% (  0.05) | 
| Aldershot Town Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.19% (  0.05) | 28.81% (  -0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.34% (  0.06) | 64.66% (  -0.06) | 
| Gateshead Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.28% (  -0.07) | 17.72% (  0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.61% (  -0.12) | 48.38% (  0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Gateshead | 
| 2-1 @ 6.84% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 6.35% (  0.02) 2-0 @ 3.95% (  0.02) 3-1 @ 2.84% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 2.46% (  0) 3-0 @ 1.64% (  0.01) Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 10.99% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 5.92% (  0) 0-0 @ 5.11% (  0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% (  -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 9.51% (  -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.83% (  -0) 0-2 @ 7.64% (  -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.49% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.41% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.41% (  -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.37% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.91% (  -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.48% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.8% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | S | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 
| 2 | I | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 
| 3 | S | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 
| 4 | T | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 
| 5 | R | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 38 | 
| 2 | Barnet | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 19 | 13 | 35 | 
| 3 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 30 | 
| 4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 27 | 
| 5 | Bromley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 26 | 
| 6 | Gateshead | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 25 | 
| 7 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 | 
| 8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 
| 9 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Rochdale | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 20 | 
| 11 | Eastleigh | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 20 | 
| 12 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 19 | 
| 13 | Woking | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 | 
| 14 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 18 | 
| 15 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 16 | 
| 16 | Ebbsfleet | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 16 | 
| 17 | York City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 15 | 
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 15 | 
| 19 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 14 | 
| 20 | Oxford CityOxford City | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 14 | 
| 21 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 13 | 
| 22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 13 | 
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 13 | 
| 24 | Fylde | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 9 | 
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