Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 50.82% ( | 23.02% ( | 26.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( | 63.51% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( | 16.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.11% ( | 45.89% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( | 28.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.21% ( | 64.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 2-0 @ 7.75% ( 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.61% ( 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.64% ( 5-1 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0-2 @ 3.63% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-3 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 39 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 100 | 35 | 65 | 97 |
| 2 | Notts County | 40 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 101 | 36 | 65 | 94 |
| 3 | Woking | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 71 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 39 | 21 | 8 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 71 |
| 5 | Barnet | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 66 |
| 6 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 7 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 38 | 16 | 14 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 62 |
| 8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Bromley | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 52 | 47 | 5 | 55 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 56 | 62 | -6 | 55 |
| 11 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 55 |
| 12 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 53 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 39 | 14 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 69 | -10 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 40 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 47 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 43 |
| 17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 39 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 43 |
| 18 | York City | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 55 | 84 | -29 | 40 |
| 20 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 32 | 43 | -11 | 38 |
| 21 | Gateshead | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 37 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 39 | 8 | 9 | 22 | 46 | 75 | -29 | 33 |
| 23 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 31 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 39 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 41 | 83 | -42 | 24 |
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