Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Luxembourg
0 - 6
Portugal

Thill (32'), da Graca (37'), Martins Pereira (74'), Barreiro (82')

FT(HT: 0-4)

Ronaldo (9', 31'), Felix (15'), Silva (18'), Otavio (77'), Leao (88')
Ronaldo (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Luxembourg and Portugal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Portugal could line up for Sunday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group J clash with Luxembourg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current League C1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	0	0	0
2	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
3	Luxembourg	0	0	0
4	Lithuania	0	0	0

Portugal

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Portugal 4-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, March 23 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	3	2	6
2	South Korea	3	0	4
3	Uruguay	3	0	4
4	Ghana	3	-2	3

We said: Luxembourg 0-2 Portugal

Although Luxembourg have clearly dramatically improved during Holtz's lengthy spell in charge of his home nation, they are still someway short of being able to consistently challenge against teams of Portugal's calibre. Martinez's secondary aim from the trip to Luxembourg City may be keeping another clean sheet, and we can envisage a tighter victory than many may expect as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 78.51%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 6.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.86%) and 0-3 (12.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.91%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 1-0 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Luxembourg	Draw	Portugal
6.33% ( -0.08)	15.17% ( 0.02)	78.51% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 35.39% (

-0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.45% (

-0.4)

46.56% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.17% (

-0.38)

68.83% (

0.38)

Luxembourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

39.26% (

-0.5)

60.74% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

8.98% (

-0.25)

91.03% (

0.25)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.15% (

-0.08)

9.85% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.33% (

-0.2)

32.68% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Luxembourg 6.33%

Portugal 78.49%

Draw 15.17%

Luxembourg	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 2.98% ( 0) 2-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 6.33%	1-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 2% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 15.17%	0-2 @ 16.07% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 13.86% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 12.41% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.01% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.59% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 78.49%