Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 45.12%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 45.12% ( | 26.71% ( | 28.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( | 55.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( | 76.53% ( |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% ( | 24.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.14% ( | 58.85% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.15% ( | 34.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.41% ( | 71.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.99% ( 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.11% | 1-1 @ 12.64% ( 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.7% ( Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 2-3 @ 1.65% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Notts County | 42 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 106 | 36 | 70 | 100 |
| 2 | Wrexham | 41 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 106 | 39 | 67 | 100 |
| 3 | Woking | 41 | 22 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 75 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 41 | 20 | 8 | 13 | 73 | 64 | 9 | 68 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 41 | 17 | 14 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 41 | 19 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 41 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 60 | 50 | 10 | 62 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 41 | 17 | 8 | 16 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 59 |
| 10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 41 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 57 | 67 | -10 | 58 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 60 | 59 | 1 | 56 |
| 12 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 41 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 56 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 53 |
| 14 | York City | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 49 |
| 15 | Halifax TownHalifax | 40 | 13 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 49 |
| 16 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 49 |
| 17 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 41 | 12 | 12 | 17 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
| 18 | Gateshead | 39 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 46 |
| 19 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 41 | 13 | 7 | 21 | 59 | 86 | -27 | 46 |
| 20 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 41 | 12 | 8 | 21 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 44 |
| 21 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 41 | 10 | 10 | 21 | 48 | 69 | -21 | 40 |
| 22 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 41 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 39 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 42 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 46 | 78 | -32 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 42 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 43 | 92 | -49 | 24 |
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