Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scunthorpe United win with a probability of 43.68%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.