Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 42.23% ( | 25.44% ( | 32.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.56% ( | 48.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.43% ( | 70.56% ( |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.17% ( | 22.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.45% ( | 56.54% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( | 28.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.92% ( | 64.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 2-0 @ 7.06% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.48% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 4-0 @ 1.28% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 1-2 @ 7.6% ( 0-2 @ 5.14% ( 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.33% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 |
| 2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 |
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
| 5 | Barnet | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72 | 62 | 10 | 67 |
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 |
| 7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 |
| 8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 |
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 |
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 |
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 |
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 |
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 |
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 |
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 |
| 18 | York City | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 |
| 19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 |
| 20 | Gateshead | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 |
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 38 |
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 |
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 |
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