Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Scunthorpe United | 
| 42.23% (  0.02) | 25.44% (  -0.01) | 32.33% (  -0.02) | 
| Both teams to score 55.3% (  0.02) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.56% (  0.02) | 48.43% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.43% (  0.02) | 70.56% (  -0.02) | 
| Torquay United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.17% (  0.02) | 22.82% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.45% (  0.03) | 56.54% (  -0.03) | 
| Scunthorpe United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.66% (  0) | 28.34% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.92% (  0) | 64.07% (  -0.01) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Torquay United | Draw | Scunthorpe United | 
| 1-0 @ 9.56% (  -0) 2-1 @ 8.9% (  0) 2-0 @ 7.06% (  0) 3-1 @ 4.38% (  0) 3-0 @ 3.48% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.76% (  0) 4-1 @ 1.62% (  0) 4-0 @ 1.28% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.02% (  0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.23% | 1-1 @ 12.04% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.47% (  -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.61% (  0) 3-3 @ 1.16% (  0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.16% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.6% (  -0) 0-2 @ 5.14% (  -0) 1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.36% (  0) 0-3 @ 2.16% (  -0) 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.72% Total : 32.33% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wrexham | 40 | 31 | 7 | 2 | 105 | 36 | 69 | 100 | 
| 2 | Notts County | 41 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 103 | 36 | 67 | 97 | 
| 3 | Woking | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 72 | 
| 4 | Chesterfield | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 | 
| 5 | Barnet | 39 | 20 | 7 | 12 | 72 | 62 | 10 | 67 | 
| 6 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 40 | 17 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 33 | 15 | 65 | 
| 7 | Eastleigh | 40 | 19 | 7 | 14 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 64 | 
| 8 | Bromley | 40 | 16 | 13 | 11 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 61 | 
| 9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 40 | 16 | 8 | 16 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 56 | 
| 10 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 51 | 63 | -12 | 56 | 
| 11 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 55 | 
| 12 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 40 | 16 | 7 | 17 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 55 | 
| 13 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 | 
| 14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 41 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 48 | 
| 15 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 47 | 
| 16 | Halifax TownHalifax | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 46 | 
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 40 | 13 | 7 | 20 | 58 | 84 | -26 | 46 | 
| 18 | York City | 40 | 11 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 43 | 
| 19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 54 | 68 | -14 | 43 | 
| 20 | Gateshead | 37 | 9 | 14 | 14 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 40 | 
| 21 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 39 | 7 | 17 | 15 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 38 | 
| 22 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 40 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 37 | 
| 23 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 41 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 46 | 76 | -30 | 34 | 
| 24 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 41 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 43 | 90 | -47 | 24 | 
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