Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
50.81% (![]() | 22.83% (![]() | 26.35% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9% (![]() | 40.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.54% (![]() | 62.46% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.05% (![]() | 15.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.79% (![]() | 45.21% (![]() |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.76% (![]() | 28.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% (![]() | 63.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.26% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.59% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.87% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.7% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 10.45% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.07% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.61% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.6% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.56% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 61 | 32 | 29 | 55 |
2 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 55 | 35 | 20 | 44 |
3 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 42 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 41 |
5 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 38 |
6 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 45 | -6 | 35 |
7 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 47 | -13 | 32 |
8 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 30 |
9 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 29 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 29 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Macarthur | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 26 |
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