Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.6% | 25.57% | 31.83% |
Both teams to score 54.66% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.82% | 49.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.03% | 22.98% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.24% | 56.76% |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% | 29.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% | 64.95% |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
1-0 @ 9.81% 2-1 @ 8.92% 2-0 @ 7.22% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-0 @ 3.54% 3-2 @ 2.71% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.6% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.5% 0-2 @ 5.1% 1-3 @ 3.09% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 47 | 25 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 40 |
3 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 34 |
5 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 31 |
6 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 28 |
7 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 27 |
8 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 25 |
10 | Macarthur | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 25 |
11 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 24 |
12 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 23 |
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