Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 72.77%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 11.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax | 
| 11.77% ( | 15.46% ( | 72.77% ( | 
| Both teams to score 59.13% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 71.22% ( | 28.78% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.49% ( | 36.51% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.7% ( | 73.3% ( | 
| Ajax Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 93.13% ( | 6.87% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 74.74% ( | 25.25% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax | 
| 2-1 @ 3.41% ( 1-0 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 2-0 @ 1.27% ( 3-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.77%  | 1-1 @ 6.77% ( 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0-0 @ 2.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.46%  | 1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0-2 @ 8.99% ( 1-3 @ 8.09% ( 0-3 @ 8.03% ( 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 1-4 @ 5.42% ( 0-4 @ 5.38% 2-3 @ 4.08% ( 1-5 @ 2.9% ( 0-5 @ 2.88% ( 2-4 @ 2.73% ( 2-5 @ 1.46% ( 1-6 @ 1.3% ( 0-6 @ 1.29% ( 3-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.53% Total : 72.77%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 81 | 29 | 52 | 82 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 87 | 39 | 48 | 72 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 33 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 85 | 35 | 50 | 69 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 67 | 33 | 34 | 67 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 61 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 56 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 52 | 48 | 4 | 51 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 43 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 41 | 
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 40 | 
| 11 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 38 | 
| 12 | Vitesse | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 37 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 38 | 61 | -23 | 35 | 
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 33 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 68 | -38 | 32 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 31 | 70 | -39 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 22 | 69 | -47 | 16 | 
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