Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 79.11%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 7.75%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.14%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.08%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.