

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 56.25% (  -0.07) | 22.93% (  0.03) | 20.82% (  0.04) | 
| Both teams to score 53.21% (  -0.04) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.62% (  -0.08) | 46.37% (  0.08) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.34% (  -0.07) | 68.66% (  0.07) | 
| FC Utrecht Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.7% (  -0.05) | 16.29% (  0.05) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.14% (  -0.1) | 45.86% (  0.09) | 
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 63.56% (  -0) | 36.43% (  0) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.78% (  -0) | 73.22% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles | 
| 1-0 @ 10.77% (  0.02) 2-1 @ 9.87% (  -0) 2-0 @ 9.77% (  -0) 3-1 @ 5.97% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% (  -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.01% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.71% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.68% (  -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.37% (  -0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% (  -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.24% Total : 56.25% | 1-1 @ 10.87% (  0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% (  0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% (  -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.93% | 0-1 @ 5.99% (  0.02) 1-2 @ 5.49% (  0.01) 0-2 @ 3.03% (  0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% (  0) 2-3 @ 1.68% (  -0) 0-3 @ 1.02% (  0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 20.82% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 31 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 76 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 35 | 47 | 68 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 31 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 63 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 31 | 18 | 7 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 61 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 58 | 26 | 32 | 58 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 53 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 51 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 | 
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 41 | 
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 41 | 41 | 0 | 38 | 
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 35 | 
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39 | 66 | -27 | 33 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 31 | 
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 27 | 68 | -41 | 29 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 28 | 
| R | Groningen | 31 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 18 | 
| R | Cambuur | 31 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 21 | 63 | -42 | 16 | 
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