Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 15.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 64.16% | 20.13% | 15.71% |
| Both teams to score 52.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.84% | 42.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.43% | 64.56% |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.56% | 12.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.63% | 38.36% |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.25% | 39.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.58% | 76.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% 1-0 @ 10.3% 2-1 @ 9.91% 3-0 @ 7.46% 3-1 @ 6.89% 4-0 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 3.18% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-0 @ 1.62% 5-1 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.43% Total : 64.16% | 1-1 @ 9.51% 0-0 @ 4.94% 2-2 @ 4.57% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.13% | 0-1 @ 4.56% 1-2 @ 4.39% 0-2 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.41% 1-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 26 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 29 |
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
| 13 | FC VolendamVolendam | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 26 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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