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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 50.5%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 23.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
50.5% | 26.14% | 23.36% |
Both teams to score 46.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.61% | 56.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.59% | 77.4% |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.6% | 22.4% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.09% | 55.91% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.39% | 39.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.71% | 76.29% |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 13.27% 2-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.2% 3-0 @ 4.95% 3-1 @ 4.59% 3-2 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.87% Total : 50.5% | 1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.22% 1-2 @ 5.69% 0-2 @ 3.81% 1-3 @ 1.76% 2-3 @ 1.32% 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 73 | 28 | 45 | 73 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 65 |
3 | Ajax | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 62 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 59 | 32 | 27 | 60 |
5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 53 |
6 | FC Twente | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 51 | 26 | 25 | 52 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 45 |
8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 38 |
9 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 38 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 42 | 50 | -8 | 36 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 7 | 14 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 35 |
12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 32 |
13 | Vitesse | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 31 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 30 |
15 | EmmenEmmen | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 51 | -22 | 28 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 66 | -39 | 28 |
17 | Groningen | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 17 |
18 | Cambuur | 30 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 16 |
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