

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 12.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.08%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 2-1 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
| 12.32% | 17.31% | 70.37% |
| Both teams to score 53.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.27% | 36.73% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.86% | 41.14% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.31% | 77.68% |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.68% | 9.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 68.56% | 31.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 3.59% 1-0 @ 3.41% 2-0 @ 1.51% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.32% | 1-1 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 4.26% 0-0 @ 3.83% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.31% | 0-2 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.59% 0-1 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 8.54% 1-3 @ 7.59% 0-4 @ 5.07% 1-4 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 3.37% 0-5 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 2.14% 2-4 @ 2% 0-6 @ 0.95% 2-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.37% Total : 70.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 9 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 9 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
| 5 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Heerenveen | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 |
| 7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Heracles | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Ajax | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| 12 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 3 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 0 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
| 17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -10 | 0 |
| 18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
