

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 47.75%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 47.75% | 24.86% | 27.39% | 
| Both teams to score 54.39% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 51.66% | 48.34% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 29.52% | 70.48% | 
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.71% | 20.29% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.35% | 52.65% | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.23% | 31.77% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.8% | 68.19% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | Fortuna Sittard | 
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 9.4% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.77% Total : 47.74%  | 1-1 @ 11.78% 0-0 @ 6.44% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.85%  | 0-1 @ 7.39% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.24% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.39%  | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 7 | 52 | 51 | 
| 2 | Feyenoord | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 38 | 
| 3 | FC Twente | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 37 | 
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 36 | 16 | 20 | 33 | 
| 5 | Ajax | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 23 | 
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 21 | 
| 9 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 20 | 
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 19 | 
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 19 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 18 | 
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 17 | 
| 14 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 17 | 
| 15 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 16 | 
| 16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 14 | 
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 11 | 
| 18 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 11 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
