Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Genoa
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 3-0 Napoli
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 1-1 Torino
Although Torino tend to struggle for goals when away from home, last week's success should imbue their forwards with confidence. As a result, they can come close to taking three points back to Turin - but Gilardino's Genoa are not easily beaten at Marassi and can escape with a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Torino had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Torino |
40.94% ( -0.17) | 28.51% ( 0.01) | 30.55% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
