Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 39.54% ( | 24.94% ( | 35.51% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.82% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( | 45.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( | 67.85% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( | 22.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.38% ( | 56.62% ( |
| Annan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( | 25.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.3% ( | 59.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Annan Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 1-0 @ 8.45% ( 2-0 @ 6.23% ( 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 3-2 @ 2.94% ( 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-2 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.54% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.94% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 1-4 @ 1.3% ( 2-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 35.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
