

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 65.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.95%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 65.13% ( | 18.61% ( | 16.27% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.2% ( | 33.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.36% ( | 55.64% ( |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.23% ( | 9.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.51% ( | 32.49% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.14% ( | 33.86% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.47% ( | 70.53% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 2-0 @ 8.95% ( 1-0 @ 7.69% ( 3-1 @ 7.51% ( 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-2 @ 4.07% ( 4-0 @ 4.03% ( 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 5-1 @ 2.03% ( 5-0 @ 1.88% ( 5-2 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 4.5% Total : 65.13% | 1-1 @ 8.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 18.61% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0-1 @ 3.58% ( 0-2 @ 1.94% ( 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 16.27% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
