Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 39.27%. A win for Montrose had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Montrose win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 39.27% ( | 24.42% ( | 36.32% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.84% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( | 42.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( | 65.35% ( |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( | 21.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.86% ( | 55.14% ( |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.6% ( | 23.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.62% ( | 57.38% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Kelty Hearts | Draw | Montrose |
| 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 1-0 @ 7.78% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 4-1 @ 1.65% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.51% Total : 39.27% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( 2-2 @ 6.24% ( 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.42% | 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-1 @ 7.44% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0-4 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 36.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
