Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.