

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 0-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alloa Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 40.16% ( | 25.29% ( | 34.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.74% ( | 47.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.51% ( | 69.49% ( |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( | 23.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.71% ( | 57.29% ( |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.6% ( | 26.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.44% ( | 61.56% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alloa Athletic | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 2-0 @ 6.52% ( 3-1 @ 4.21% ( 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 40.16% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0-2 @ 5.46% ( 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
| > Scottish League One Full Table | |||||||||
