

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 29.64% ( | 24.78% ( | 45.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.3% ( | 46.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.04% ( | 68.96% ( |
| Everton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( | 29.27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 34.76% ( | 65.23% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( | 20.56% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 46.92% ( | 53.07% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 7.39% ( 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 4-1 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0-2 @ 7.53% ( 1-3 @ 4.88% ( 0-3 @ 3.97% ( 2-3 @ 3% ( 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0-4 @ 1.57% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
