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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 17, 2023 at 2pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 2
Aston Villa

Lewis-Potter (45')
Norgaard (46'), Frank (47'), Ghoddos (86'), Janelt (88'), Onyeka (90'), Maupay (90+1'), Yarmolyuk (90+8')
Mee (71')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moreno (77'), Watkins (85')
Bailey (80'), Konsa (86'), Duran (87'), Emery (90+8'), Martinez (90+8')
Kamara (90+7')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa come from behind to record a 2-1 victory over Brentford in Sunday afternoon's Premier League clash.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Brentford
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Aston Villa
Thursday, December 14 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
35.97% (0.327 0.33) 24.29% (-0.273 -0.27) 39.74% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Both teams to score 60.26% (1.048 1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.61% (1.341 1.34)42.39% (-1.336 -1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.2% (1.326 1.33)64.8% (-1.321 -1.32)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.79599999999999 0.8)23.33% (-0.792 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (1.141 1.14)57.28% (-1.137 -1.14)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.59% (0.559 0.56)21.41% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.59% (0.852 0.85)54.41% (-0.847 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 35.97%
    Aston Villa 39.74%
    Draw 24.29%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 8.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.27% (-0.265 -0.27)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.107 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.05% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.44% (0.071 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 35.97%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6.28% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5% (-0.303 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.29%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.7% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 5.93% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-3 @ 4.44% (0.064 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.23% (0.119 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.05% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.71% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.066 0.07)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 39.74%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
16.1%
Draw
14.4%
Aston Villa
69.5%
118
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2023 5pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
3-3
Brentford
Konsa (27'), Diaby (32'), Cash (37')
(0')
Mbeumo (9' pen.), Dasilva (22'), Baptiste (66')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brentford
1-1
Aston Villa
Toney (65')
Luiz (87')
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania21013
2 Belgium Belgium21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Ukraine Ukraine21013

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal22006
2 Turkey Turkey21013
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic20111
4 Georgia Georgia20111


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