Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.7%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
35.97% (![]() | 24.29% (![]() | 39.74% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.61% (![]() | 42.39% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.2% (![]() | 64.8% (![]() |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.67% (![]() | 23.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.72% (![]() | 57.28% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.59% (![]() | 21.41% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.59% (![]() | 54.41% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Brentford | Draw | Aston Villa |
2-1 @ 8.16% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.27% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.96% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 11.2% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.28% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.29% | 1-2 @ 8.64% (![]() 0-1 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.44% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 39.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
3 | ![]() | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |