Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 11

Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
2 - 0
Aston Villa

Aina (5'), Mangala (47')
Danilo (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamara (64')

Unai Emery: 'I learned things from Aston Villa's defeat to Nottingham Forest'

Head coach Unai Emery says that he 'learned things' from Aston Villa's 2-0 defeat at Nottingham Forest in the Premier League.

Nov 5, 19:21

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Liverpool 3-0 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Luton
Sunday, October 29 at 2pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Aston Villa
32.35% ( -0.02)	25.72% ( -0.05)	41.92% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 54.36% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.35% (

0.21)

49.65% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33% (

0.19)

71.67% (

-0.19)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.07% (

0.09)

28.93% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.19% (

0.12)

64.81% (

-0.12)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

0.12)

23.51% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.46% (

0.18)

57.54% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 32.35%

Aston Villa 41.92%

Draw 25.72%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.35%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.13% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.92%