Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 5

Sep 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Burnley

Hudson-Odoi (61')
Mangala (32'), Montiel (34')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Amdouni (41')
Trafford (11'), Roberts (90+5'), Cullen (90+9')
Foster (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Burnley are denied a late winner by VAR as Callum Hudson-Odoi's stunning second-half strike helps Nottingham Forest rescue a 1-1 draw at the City Ground.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between Nottingham Forest and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Burnley 2-5 Spurs
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Burnley
26.58% ( -0.56)	26.52% ( 0.34)	46.89% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 48.68% (

-1.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

-1.6)

55.5% (

1.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

-1.33)

76.68% (

1.33)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

-1.33)

36.24% (

1.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

-1.37)

73.02% (

1.37)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.34% (

-0.58)

23.66% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.24% (

-0.85)

57.76% (

0.85)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 26.58%

Burnley 46.89%

Draw 26.52%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.89% Total : 26.58%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.54) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 46.89%