Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 51.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-0 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Burnley in this match.