

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 34.65% ( | 24.86% ( | 40.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.71% ( | 45.28% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.37% ( | 67.62% ( |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( | 25.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 39.78% ( | 60.22% ( |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.69% ( | 22.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |||||
| 44.22% ( | 55.77% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 1-0 @ 7.77% ( 2-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-1 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 3-0 @ 2.43% ( 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 4-2 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.59% Total : 34.65% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.37% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0-2 @ 6.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0-3 @ 3.19% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 2-4 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 40.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| Q | | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
| 1 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 2 | | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
