

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 30.52% ( | 24.68% ( | 44.8% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.21% ( | 45.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.89% ( | 68.11% ( |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( | 28.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.08% ( | 63.93% ( |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.48% ( | 20.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.98% ( | 53.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 1-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 4-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 30.52% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0-0 @ 5.79% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.67% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0-1 @ 9.17% ( 0-2 @ 7.26% ( 1-3 @ 4.85% ( 0-3 @ 3.83% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 1.92% ( 0-4 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.8% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Liverpool | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 81 | 35 | 46 | 82 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 64 | 31 | 33 | 67 |
| 3 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 67 | 43 | 24 | 64 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 66 | 45 | 21 | 63 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 35 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 62 | 41 | 21 | 63 |
| 6 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 42 | 12 | 61 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 55 | 49 | 6 | 60 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 35 | 15 | 7 | 13 | 62 | 53 | 9 | 52 |
| 10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 57 | 56 | 1 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 51 | 62 | -11 | 41 |
| 14 | Everton | 35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 39 |
| 15 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 39 |
| 16 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 38 |
| 17 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 37 |
| R | Ipswich TownIpswich | 35 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 76 | -41 | 22 |
| R | Leicester CityLeicester | 35 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 29 | 76 | -47 | 21 |
| R | Southampton | 35 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 82 | -57 | 11 |
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