La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 10, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Civitas Metropolitano

Atletico
4 - 0
Real Sociedad

Sorloth (7', 10', 11', 30')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Barrenetxea (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Alaves 0-0 Atletico
Saturday, May 3 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
55.77% ( 0.34)	22.78% ( 0.05)	21.45% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 54.6% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.04% (

-0.68)

44.97% (

0.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.68% (

-0.66)

67.32% (

0.66)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.04% (

-0.12)

15.96% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.75% (

-0.22)

45.25% (

0.23)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.97% (

-0.75)

35.03% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.23% (

-0.79)

71.77% (

0.8)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.76%

Real Sociedad 21.45%

Draw 22.78%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.04% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 55.76%	1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.78%	0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2% Total : 21.45%