La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

Apr 23, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Tenaglia (65')
Vicente (36'), Conechny (47'), Blanco (90+2'), Sivera (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aramburu (30'), Mariezkurrena Etxezarreta (80'), Elustondo (90+5'), Sucic (90+2'), Oskarsson (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, April 20 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Sociedad

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Real Sociedad
Sunday, April 20 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
30.82% ( -0.1)	26.68% ( -0)	42.5% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 50.71% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

-0.02)

54.08% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-0.02)

75.51% (

0.02)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.78% (

-0.08)

32.22% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.29% (

-0.09)

68.71% (

0.1)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.82% (

0.05)

25.18% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.09% (

0.06)

59.91% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Alaves 30.82%

Real Sociedad 42.49%

Draw 26.68%

Alaves	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 30.82%	1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.68%	0-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 42.49%